Goal expectancy
2.42Expected goals1.19
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Zug 5-0 Kickers Luzern Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Zug
Estimated win chances: Zug 64.5%, draw 18.3%, Kickers Luzern 17.2%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingZug
Weighted momentum
Zug carries the sharper recent run (+46 momentum).
14Cold spellKickers Luzern
Kickers Luzern · High-risk / fragile
Zug
14W · 9D · 5LRecent →WDWDLWWDWLWWLLWWDWLDDDWDWWDW
Momentum index
Kickers Luzern
5W · 3D · 20LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLDWWDLLLLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapZug +33
Zug
51 pts50% wins
14W · 9D · 5L · 28 played
For66
Against39
Kickers Luzern
18 pts18% wins
5W · 3D · 20L · 28 played
For33
Against64
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Zug offensive edge
Zug's attack (70%) vs Kickers Luzern's defense (42%).
+28 - Kickers Luzern offensive edge
Kickers Luzern runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-28
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Kickers LuzernHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Zug100%
0Draws
0Kickers Luzern0%