Aeti 0-1 Samtredia Prediction

AetiAeti
0 — 1FT
SamtrediaSamtredia
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

AetiAetivsSamtrediaSamtredia

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Samtredia

Estimated win chances: Aeti 32.8%, draw 26.3%, Samtredia 40.8%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.21Expected goals1.38

From 23 and 23 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–17.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

24Cold spellAeti
Weighted momentum

Samtredia arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).

47MixedSamtredia
Aeti · High-risk / fragileSamtredia · low scoring

Aeti

4W · 3D · 16L
Recent →LDLWLDLWLLWLLLDLLLLLWLL
Momentum index

Samtredia

6W · 7D · 10L
Recent →DWWWDWLLWDLWDLLLDDLLDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSamtredia +10

Aeti

15 pts
17% wins

4W · 3D · 16L · 23 played

For
19
Against
50
Goal diff -31

Samtredia

25 pts
26% wins

6W · 7D · 10L · 23 played

For
21
Against
31
Goal diff -10

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Aeti offensive edge

    Aeti faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -40
  • Samtredia offensive edge

    Samtredia's attack (50%) vs Aeti's defense (10%).

    +40

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Aeti50
Samtredia50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Aeti10
Samtredia90

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Aeti24
Samtredia47

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Aeti-30
Samtredia130

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Aeti45
Samtredia30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Aeti27
Samtredia73

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Aeti0
Samtredia0
AetiHigh-risk / fragile
Samtredialow scoring