Antwerp 1-1 Dender Prediction

AntwerpAntwerp
1 — 1FT
DenderDender
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

AntwerpAntwerpvsDenderDender

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Antwerp

Estimated win chances: Antwerp 56.6%, draw 22.9%, Dender 20.4%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.81Expected goals0.99

From 14 and 14 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–011.5%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–010.4%
  • 2–110.3%
  • 0–06.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

65BuildingAntwerp
Weighted momentum

Antwerp carries the sharper recent run (+31 momentum).

34Cold spellDender
Antwerp · compact defenseDender · cold form

Antwerp

8W · 2D · 4L
Recent →WLWDWWWWDLLWLW
Momentum index

Dender

4W · 5D · 5L
Recent →DLLDWDLLWLDWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAntwerp +9

Antwerp

26 pts
57% wins

8W · 2D · 4L · 14 played

For
26
Against
11
Goal diff +15

Dender

17 pts
29% wins

4W · 5D · 5L · 14 played

For
17
Against
23
Goal diff -6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Antwerp offensive edge

    Antwerp's attack (69%) vs Dender's defense (33%).

    +36
  • Dender offensive edge

    Dender runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -36

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Antwerp69
Dender31

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Antwerp67
Dender33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Antwerp65
Dender34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Antwerp122
Dender-22

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Antwerp30
Dender32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Antwerp67
Dender33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Antwerp0
Dender0
Antwerpcompact defense
Dendercold form