Key events
View all
Estrela- Barbero
- I. Stoica
AroucaFT 1–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Model blend
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Arouca35%
- Draw35%
- Estrela30%
Prematch market
Source: William Hill
- Arouca44%
- Draw27.2%
- Estrela28.9%
Live market
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Venue
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca · Portugal
- Address
- Afonso Pinto Magalhães Valdasna
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 7000
Match
Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe
Round 8
- Referee
- Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe
- Round
- Round 8
- Date
Competition
League · Portugal
- Country
- Portugal (PT)
- Season
- 2026
- Dates
- 2026-08-07 → 2027-05-16
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
37%37%63%63%
Expected goals (xG)
0.7835%1.4865%
Total shots
739%1161%
Shots on target
360%240%
Team form & competition
View all- #5Position
- 17Points
- 5-2-2W-D-L
- 12/7Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 0-1
- Worst defeats
- 1-2 / 2-0
- #12Position
- 10Points
- 2-4-3W-D-L
- 14/17Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 2-1 / 2-3
- Worst defeats
- 0-2 / 1-0
Head to head
View all3Aroucawins
1Drawsmatches
2Estrelawins
Recorded meetings: 6 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Estrela 1–4 Arouca
- Arouca most goals
- Estrela 1–4 Arouca
- Estrela most goals
- Estrela 3–1 Arouca
Estrela created the clearer chances on xG (0.78 vs 1.48, Δ 0.70). Estrela fired more attempts (11 vs 7 shots). Arouca was more accurate in front of goal (43% on target vs 18%). Estrela held more of the ball (63% possession).
Estrela underperformed their xG by 1.5 goals (0 scored vs 1.48 xG).