Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.20
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Aucas
Estimated win chances: Aucas 41.6%, draw 26.2%, Orense Sc 32.2%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
17Cold spellAucas
Weighted momentum
Orense Sc arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).
40MixedOrense Sc
Aucas · low scoring · cold form
Aucas
0W · 3D · 2LRecent →LDLDD
Momentum index
Orense Sc
1W · 2D · 2LRecent →WLDDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapOrense Sc +2
Aucas
3 pts0% wins
0W · 3D · 2L · 5 played
For4
Against6
Orense Sc
5 pts20% wins
1W · 2D · 2L · 5 played
For7
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aucas offensive edge
Aucas faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Orense Sc offensive edge
Orense Sc's attack (64%) vs Aucas's defense (57%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Aucaslow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Aucas56%
3Draws
1Orense Sc11%