Aurora 4-1 Mictlán Prediction

AuroraAurora
4 — 1FT
MictlánMictlán
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

AuroraAuroravsMictlánMictlán

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Aurora

Estimated win chances: Aurora 46.8%, draw 27.2%, Mictlán 26%. From 30 and 26 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.39Expected goals0.96

From 30 and 26 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.5%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–19.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

54BuildingAurora
Weighted momentum

Aurora carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).

36Cold spellMictlán
Mictlán · low scoring · cold form

Aurora

13W · 8D · 9L
Recent →LWWWDDDDLWWLWWDWLLWLLWDLWWDWDL
Momentum index

Mictlán

8W · 4D · 14L
Recent →LLDWWDLWLLWLLDLLWWLWLLDLLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Aurora

47 pts
43% wins

13W · 8D · 9L · 30 played

For
35
Against
29
Goal diff +6

Mictlán

28 pts
31% wins

8W · 4D · 14L · 26 played

For
26
Against
35
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Aurora offensive edge

    Aurora faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    0
  • Mictlán offensive edge

    Mictlán runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    0

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Aurora50
Mictlán50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Aurora50
Mictlán50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Aurora54
Mictlán36

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Aurora50
Mictlán50

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Aurora30
Mictlán30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Aurora59
Mictlán41

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Aurora80
Mictlán20
Mictlánlow scoring · cold form