Goal expectancy
1.96Expected goals1.47
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Ba
Estimated win chances: Ba 49.1%, draw 21.9%, Suva 29%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingBa
Weighted momentum
Ba carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).
37Cold spellSuva
Suva · High-risk / fragile
Ba
4W · 3D · 3LRecent →DWWLWWLLDD
Momentum index
Suva
3W · 3D · 4LRecent →LWLDLWLDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBa +3
Ba
15 pts40% wins
4W · 3D · 3L · 10 played
For21
Against14
Suva
12 pts30% wins
3W · 3D · 4L · 10 played
For21
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ba offensive edge
Ba's attack (63%) vs Suva's defense (38%).
+25 - Suva offensive edge
Suva runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-26
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SuvaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Ba11%
2Draws
6Suva67%