Birmingham vs QPR
Key events
View all
QPR- L. Millar
- L. Millar
- D. Gray
BirminghamFT 3–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Model blend
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Birmingham45%
- Draw45%
- QPR10%
Prematch market
Source: William Hill
- Birmingham46.3%
- Draw27.2%
- QPR26.5%
Live market
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Venue
St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham · England
- Address
- St. Andrew's Road
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 30009
Match
Thomas Kirk
Round 11
- Referee
- Thomas Kirk
- Round
- Round 11
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2026
- Dates
- 2026-08-14 → 2027-05-01
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
52%52%48%48%
Expected goals (xG)
1.3453%1.1747%
Total shots
1148%1252%
Shots on target
556%444%
Team form & competition
View all- #4Position
- 20Points
- 4-5-1W-D-L
- 17/11Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 1-2
- Worst defeats
- 2-1
- #9Position
- 17Points
- 4-5-1W-D-L
- 15/9Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-1 / 1-3
- Worst defeats
- 0-1
Head to head
View all6Birminghamwins
5Drawsmatches
9QPRwins
Recorded meetings: 20 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- QPR 3–4 Birmingham
- Birmingham most goals
- QPR 3–4 Birmingham
- QPR most goals
- Birmingham 1–4 QPR
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Fmikel-arteta-13-6a7a3b83e60dd465189253.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F09%2Fimago1064560171-1-68cab04921bf0944240578.jpg)
Birmingham created the clearer chances on xG (1.34 vs 1.17, Δ 0.17). QPR fired more attempts (12 vs 11 shots). Birmingham was more accurate in front of goal (45% on target vs 33%).
Birmingham outperformed their xG by 1.7 goals (3 scored vs 1.34 xG). QPR underperformed their xG by 1.2 goals (0 scored vs 1.17 xG).