Key events
View all
Derby- A. Lloyd
- N. Madsen
- H. Vale
- P. Smyth
- L. Salvesen
QPRFT 4–1
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Model blend
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- QPR45%
- Draw45%
- Derby10%
Prematch market
Source: William Hill
- QPR55.6%
- Draw25.1%
- Derby19.3%
Live market
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Venue
MATRADE Loftus Road
London · England
- Address
- South Africa Road, Shepherd's Bush
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 18360
Match
Matthew Corlett
Round 10
- Referee
- Matthew Corlett
- Round
- Round 10
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2026
- Dates
- 2026-08-14 → 2027-05-01
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
48%48%52%52%
Expected goals (xG)
1.6063%0.9337%
Total shots
938%1563%
Shots on target
754%646%
Team form & competition
View all- #9Position
- 17Points
- 4-5-1W-D-L
- 15/9Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-1 / 1-3
- Worst defeats
- 0-1
- #23Position
- 6Points
- 1-3-6W-D-L
- 9/19Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 0-3 / 4-1
Head to head
View all7QPRwins
3Drawsmatches
10Derbywins
Recorded meetings: 20 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- QPR 2–3 Derby
- QPR most goals
- QPR 4–0 Derby
- Derby most goals
- QPR 2–3 Derby
QPR created the clearer chances on xG (1.60 vs 0.93, Δ 0.67). Derby fired more attempts (15 vs 9 shots). QPR was more accurate in front of goal (78% on target vs 40%).
QPR outperformed their xG by 2.4 goals (4 scored vs 1.60 xG).