Birmingham vs Watford
Key events
View all
Watford- E. Dennis
BirminghamFT 0–1
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Model blend
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Birmingham10%
- Draw45%
- Watford45%
Prematch market
No prematch 1X2 odds snapshot available.
Live market
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Venue
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham · England
- Address
- St. Andrew's Road
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 30009
Match
M. Donohue
Round 38
- Referee
- M. Donohue
- Round
- Round 38
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2023
- Dates
- 2023-08-04 → 2024-05-26
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
52%52%48%48%
Expected goals (xG)
2.1259%1.4841%
Total shots
2766%1434%
Shots on target
556%444%
Team form & competition
View all- #22Position
- 50Points
- 13-11-22W-D-L
- 50/65Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-1 / 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 1-3 / 3-0
- #15Position
- 56Points
- 13-17-16W-D-L
- 61/61Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 5-0 / 1-5
- Worst defeats
- 1-4 / 3-0
Head to head
View all1Birminghamwins
2Drawsmatches
5Watfordwins
Recorded meetings: 8 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Watford 2–2 Birmingham
- Birmingham most goals
- Birmingham 2–1 Watford
- Watford most goals
- Watford 3–0 Birmingham
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Birmingham created the clearer chances on xG (2.12 vs 1.48, Δ 0.64). Birmingham fired more attempts (27 vs 14 shots). Watford was more accurate in front of goal (29% on target vs 19%).
Birmingham underperformed their xG by 2.1 goals (0 scored vs 2.12 xG). Watford underperformed their xG by 0.5 goals (1 scored vs 1.48 xG).