Goal expectancy
0.95Expected goals1.26
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Uberaba
Estimated win chances: Caldense 27.9%, draw 28.6%, Uberaba 43.5%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
16Cold spellCaldense
Weighted momentum
Uberaba arrives with stronger form weighting (+62 momentum).
78Hot streakUberaba
Caldense · low scoring · cold formUberaba · compact defense · hot form
Caldense
1W · 3D · 5LRecent →LLLLDDDWL
Momentum index
Uberaba
6W · 2D · 1LRecent →WWWWDDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUberaba +14
Caldense
6 pts11% wins
1W · 3D · 5L · 9 played
For4
Against11
Uberaba
20 pts67% wins
6W · 2D · 1L · 9 played
For14
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Caldense offensive edge
Caldense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-49 - Uberaba offensive edge
Uberaba's attack (82%) vs Caldense's defense (33%).
+49
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Caldenselow scoring · cold form
Uberabacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Caldense67%
1Draws
0Uberaba0%