Calvi 1-1 Compiègne Prediction

CalviCalvi
1 — 1FT
CompiègneCompiègne

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Calvi

Estimated win chances: Calvi 48%, draw 23.8%, Compiègne 28.3%. From 22 and 21 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.71Expected goals1.26

From 22 and 21 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–27.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

61BuildingCalvi
Weighted momentum

Calvi carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).

51MixedCompiègne

Calvi

10W · 6D · 6L
Recent →WWDDWWWLLDWWLDWLWLWDDL
Momentum index

Compiègne

10W · 3D · 8L
Recent →WWDWLLLDLWLWLDWWWLWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Calvi

36 pts
45% wins

10W · 6D · 6L · 22 played

For
37
Against
30
Goal diff +7

Compiègne

33 pts
48% wins

10W · 3D · 8L · 21 played

For
30
Against
32
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Calvi offensive edge

    Calvi's attack (42%) vs Compiègne's defense (17%).

    +25
  • Compiègne offensive edge

    Compiègne runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -25

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Calvi42
Compiègne58

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Calvi83
Compiègne17

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Calvi61
Compiègne51

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Calvi100
Compiègne0

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Calvi30
Compiègne30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Calvi52
Compiègne48

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Calvi0
Compiègne0