Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals1.33
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Cancún
Estimated win chances: Cancún 43.1%, draw 24.6%, Piratas 32.4%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
61BuildingCancún
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
57BuildingPiratas
Cancún
7W · 4D · 4LRecent →WWDDWLWDDWLWWLL
Momentum index
Piratas
7W · 4D · 4LRecent →DWWLWLWDWDLLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Cancún
25 pts47% wins
7W · 4D · 4L · 15 played
For28
Against18
Piratas
25 pts47% wins
7W · 4D · 4L · 15 played
For27
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cancún offensive edge
Cancún's attack (40%) vs Piratas's defense (38%).
+2 - Piratas offensive edge
Piratas runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Cancún0%
0Draws
1Piratas100%