Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.13
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Cap
Estimated win chances: Cap 41.5%, draw 27%, Uberaba 31.5%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingCap
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
59BuildingUberaba
Cap · compact defense
Cap
2W · 3D · 1LRecent →DWDDWL
Momentum index
Uberaba
3W · 2D · 1LRecent →WDDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUberaba +2
Cap
9 pts33% wins
2W · 3D · 1L · 6 played
For7
Against5
Uberaba
11 pts50% wins
3W · 2D · 1L · 6 played
For9
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cap offensive edge
Cap's attack (46%) vs Uberaba's defense (25%).
+21 - Uberaba offensive edge
Uberaba runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Capcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Cap33%
1Draws
1Uberaba33%