Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.11
From 32 and 34 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Chimaltenango 1-1 Mictlán Prediction
Balanced — model leans Chimaltenango
Estimated win chances: Chimaltenango 40.6%, draw 27.5%, Mictlán 31.9%. From 32 and 34 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellChimaltenango
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
39Cold spellMictlán
Chimaltenango · low scoring · cold formMictlán · cold form
Chimaltenango
7W · 12D · 13LRecent →LLDLWWDWLDLLWDWLDLDDLDLLDLDLWDWD
Momentum index
Mictlán
9W · 12D · 13LRecent →LLWLWDWLWLDLLDDLWDWWDDLWLDLDDWLDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Chimaltenango
33 pts22% wins
7W · 12D · 13L · 32 played
For28
Against40
Mictlán
39 pts26% wins
9W · 12D · 13L · 34 played
For37
Against49
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Chimaltenango offensive edge
Chimaltenango faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Mictlán offensive edge
Mictlán's attack (64%) vs Chimaltenango's defense (52%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Chimaltenangolow scoring · cold form
Mictláncold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Chimaltenango86%
1Draws
0Mictlán0%