Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals1.43
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Naters
Estimated win chances: Coffrane 32.7%, draw 25.8%, Naters 41.5%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
24Cold spellCoffrane
Weighted momentum
Naters arrives with stronger form weighting (+31 momentum).
55BuildingNaters
Coffrane · High-risk / fragileNaters · compact defense
Coffrane
1W · 1D · 3LRecent →LLWLD
Momentum index
Naters
2W · 2D · 1LRecent →WDDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNaters +4
Coffrane
4 pts20% wins
1W · 1D · 3L · 5 played
For5
Against11
Naters
8 pts40% wins
2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played
For7
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Coffrane offensive edge
Coffrane faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-31 - Naters offensive edge
Naters's attack (58%) vs Coffrane's defense (27%).
+31
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CoffraneHigh-risk / fragile
Naterscompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Coffrane0%
1Draws
3Naters75%