Goal expectancy
1.09Expected goals1.70
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Chantilly
Estimated win chances: Compiègne 24.3%, draw 24%, Chantilly 51.6%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
15Cold spellCompiègne
Weighted momentum
Chantilly arrives with stronger form weighting (+53 momentum).
68Hot streakChantilly
Compiègne · High-risk / fragileChantilly · compact defense · hot form
Compiègne
3W · 4D · 12LRecent →LLLLLLLLDWLLDWDLDLW
Momentum index
Chantilly
11W · 4D · 4LRecent →DWWDWWWDWLDWWLLWWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapChantilly +24
Compiègne
13 pts16% wins
3W · 4D · 12L · 19 played
For18
Against44
Chantilly
37 pts58% wins
11W · 4D · 4L · 19 played
For33
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Compiègne offensive edge
Compiègne faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-51 - Chantilly offensive edge
Chantilly's attack (60%) vs Compiègne's defense (9%).
+51
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CompiègneHigh-risk / fragile
Chantillycompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Compiègne33%
1Draws
1Chantilly33%