Goal expectancy
1.03Expected goals0.88
From 11 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Compiègne
Estimated win chances: Compiègne 38.2%, draw 31.6%, Drancy 30.2%. From 11 and 12 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellCompiègne
Weighted momentum
Drancy arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).
34Cold spellDrancy
Compiègne · Structured / conservativeDrancy · Structured / conservative
Compiègne
1W · 7D · 3LRecent →DDLLLDDDDWD
Momentum index
Drancy
2W · 6D · 4LRecent →DDDLWDLDDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Compiègne
10 pts9% wins
1W · 7D · 3L · 11 played
For7
Against9
Drancy
12 pts17% wins
2W · 6D · 4L · 12 played
For9
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Compiègne offensive edge
Compiègne faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17 - Drancy offensive edge
Drancy's attack (57%) vs Compiègne's defense (40%).
+17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CompiègneStructured / conservative
DrancyStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Compiègne100%
0Draws
0Drancy0%