Compiègne 1-1 Sénart Moissy Prediction

CompiègneCompiègne
1 — 1FT
Sénart MoissySénart Moissy

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Compiègne

Estimated win chances: Compiègne 46.8%, draw 26%, Sénart Moissy 27.1%. From 13 and 14 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.48Expected goals1.06

From 13 and 14 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–18.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

52BuildingCompiègne
Weighted momentum

Compiègne carries the sharper recent run (+16 momentum).

36Cold spellSénart Moissy
Sénart Moissy · low scoring · cold form

Compiègne

7W · 1D · 5L
Recent →LWLWLDWWWLWLW
Momentum index

Sénart Moissy

4W · 3D · 7L
Recent →WDWLLLLLLDLWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Compiègne

22 pts
54% wins

7W · 1D · 5L · 13 played

For
18
Against
20
Goal diff -2

Sénart Moissy

15 pts
29% wins

4W · 3D · 7L · 14 played

For
10
Against
18
Goal diff -8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Compiègne offensive edge

    Compiègne faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -14
  • Sénart Moissy offensive edge

    Sénart Moissy's attack (46%) vs Compiègne's defense (32%).

    +14

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Compiègne54
Sénart Moissy46

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Compiègne32
Sénart Moissy68

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Compiègne52
Sénart Moissy36

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Compiègne22
Sénart Moissy78

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Compiègne30
Sénart Moissy30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Compiègne46
Sénart Moissy54

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Compiègne0
Sénart Moissy0
Sénart Moissylow scoring · cold form