Goal expectancy
1.59Expected goals1.37
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Compiègne
Estimated win chances: Compiègne 42.7%, draw 24.3%, Vimy 33%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellCompiègne
Weighted momentum
Vimy arrives with stronger form weighting (+27 momentum).
62BuildingVimy
Compiègne · cold formVimy · leaky defense
Compiègne
2W · 3D · 3LRecent →LDWDLDLW
Momentum index
Vimy
5W · 0D · 3LRecent →LWWWLWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVimy +6
Compiègne
9 pts25% wins
2W · 3D · 3L · 8 played
For9
Against13
Vimy
15 pts63% wins
5W · 0D · 3L · 8 played
For13
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Compiègne offensive edge
Compiègne faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Vimy offensive edge
Vimy's attack (57%) vs Compiègne's defense (50%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Compiègnecold form
Vimyleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Compiègne50%
1Draws
0Vimy0%