Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals0.52
From 23 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Cuarte
Estimated win chances: Cuarte 63.5%, draw 24.6%, Zuera 11.9%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
81Hot streakCuarte
Weighted momentum
Cuarte carries the sharper recent run (+64 momentum).
17Cold spellZuera
Cuarte · compact defense · hot formZuera · High-risk / fragile
Cuarte
15W · 8D · 0LRecent →DWWWWWWWWDWDDWWWDDWWDWD
Momentum index
Zuera
1W · 8D · 14LRecent →LLLLDLLDWDDLDDLLDLLLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuarte +42
Cuarte
53 pts65% wins
15W · 8D · 0L · 23 played
For28
Against4
Zuera
11 pts4% wins
1W · 8D · 14L · 23 played
For13
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte's attack (80%) vs Zuera's defense (13%).
+67 - Zuera offensive edge
Zuera runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-68
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cuartecompact defense · hot form
ZueraHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Cuarte33%
1Draws
1Zuera33%