Derby vs Stoke City
Key events
View all
Stoke City- L. Graham
DerbyFT 0–1
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Model blend
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Derby10%
- Draw45%
- Stoke City45%
Prematch market
Source: William Hill
- Derby32.6%
- Draw27.7%
- Stoke City39.7%
Live market
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Venue
Pride Park Stadium
Derby · England
- Address
- Pride Park, Royal Way
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 33597
Match
Oliver Langford, England
Round 11
- Referee
- Oliver Langford, England
- Round
- Round 11
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2026
- Dates
- 2026-08-14 → 2027-05-01
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
53%53%47%47%
Expected goals (xG)
1.0763%0.6237%
Total shots
1759%1241%
Shots on target
343%457%
Team form & competition
View all- #23Position
- 7Points
- 1-4-7W-D-L
- 10/21Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 0-3 / 4-1
- #9Position
- 20Points
- 6-2-4W-D-L
- 18/16Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 1-2
- Worst defeats
- 2-3 / 4-1
Head to head
View all5Derbywins
4Drawsmatches
5Stoke Citywins
Recorded meetings: 14 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Stoke City 3–1 Derby
- Derby most goals
- Derby 4–0 Stoke City
- Stoke City most goals
- Stoke City 3–1 Derby
Derby created the clearer chances on xG (1.07 vs 0.62, Δ 0.45). Derby fired more attempts (17 vs 12 shots). Stoke City was more accurate in front of goal (33% on target vs 18%). Derby held more of the ball (53% possession).
Derby underperformed their xG by 1.1 goals (0 scored vs 1.07 xG). Stoke City outperformed their xG by 0.4 goals (1 scored vs 0.62 xG).