Goal expectancy
0.96Expected goals2.13
From 32 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Erebuni 0-3 Alashkert II Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Alashkert Ii
Estimated win chances: Erebuni 16%, draw 19.8%, Alashkert Ii 64.2%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
0Cold spellErebuni
Weighted momentum
Alashkert Ii arrives with stronger form weighting (+52 momentum).
52BuildingAlashkert Ii
Erebuni · High-risk / fragile
Erebuni
0W · 1D · 31LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLDL
Momentum index
Alashkert Ii
13W · 11D · 8LRecent →WLLWDWDWDDWDDLWWDDLLLWLWWWDWWLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAlashkert Ii +49
Erebuni
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 31L · 32 played
For10
Against103
Alashkert Ii
50 pts41% wins
13W · 11D · 8L · 32 played
For58
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Erebuni offensive edge
Erebuni faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-75 - Alashkert Ii offensive edge
Alashkert Ii's attack (100%) vs Erebuni's defense (25%).
+75
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ErebuniHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Erebuni44%
3Draws
2Alashkert Ii22%