Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals1.25
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Fc Ufa 38.1%, draw 26.6%, Ural 35.3%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellFc Ufa
Weighted momentum
Ural arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).
50MixedUral
Fc Ufa · low scoring · cold form
Fc Ufa
0W · 3D · 1LRecent →DDLD
Momentum index
Ural
2W · 1D · 1LRecent →DLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUral +4
Fc Ufa
3 pts0% wins
0W · 3D · 1L · 4 played
For4
Against5
Ural
7 pts50% wins
2W · 1D · 1L · 4 played
For6
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fc Ufa offensive edge
Fc Ufa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-16 - Ural offensive edge
Ural's attack (60%) vs Fc Ufa's defense (44%).
+16
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Fc Ufalow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Fc Ufa40%
1Draws
2Ural40%