Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.05
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Fluminense 3-1 Bangu Prediction
Balanced — model leans Fluminense
Estimated win chances: Fluminense 47.3%, draw 26%, Bangu 26.7%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
88Hot streakFluminense
Weighted momentum
Fluminense carries the sharper recent run (+35 momentum).
53BuildingBangu
Fluminense · compact defense · hot form
Fluminense
5W · 0D · 1LRecent →WWWWLW
Momentum index
Bangu
3W · 1D · 2LRecent →DWLWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapFluminense +5
Fluminense
15 pts83% wins
5W · 0D · 1L · 6 played
For9
Against5
Bangu
10 pts50% wins
3W · 1D · 2L · 6 played
For7
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Fluminense offensive edge
Fluminense's attack (58%) vs Bangu's defense (40%).
+18 - Bangu offensive edge
Bangu runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Fluminensecompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Fluminense33%
0Draws
4Bangu67%