Fluminense 0-1 Flamengo Prediction

FluminenseFluminense
0 — 1FT
FlamengoFlamengo
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

FluminenseFluminensevsFlamengoFlamengo

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Flamengo

Estimated win chances: Fluminense 30.1%, draw 25.5%, Flamengo 44.4%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.19Expected goals1.50

From 10 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 0–27.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

15Cold spellFluminense
Weighted momentum

Flamengo arrives with stronger form weighting (+57 momentum).

72Hot streakFlamengo
Fluminense · High-risk / fragileFlamengo · compact defense · hot form

Fluminense

1W · 3D · 6L
Recent →LLLDLDLWLD
Momentum index

Flamengo

6W · 3D · 1L
Recent →WDWWWDLDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFlamengo +15

Fluminense

6 pts
10% wins

1W · 3D · 6L · 10 played

For
10
Against
18
Goal diff -8

Flamengo

21 pts
60% wins

6W · 3D · 1L · 10 played

For
18
Against
9
Goal diff +9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Fluminense offensive edge

    Fluminense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -48
  • Flamengo offensive edge

    Flamengo's attack (81%) vs Fluminense's defense (33%).

    +48

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Fluminense19
Flamengo81

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Fluminense33
Flamengo67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Fluminense15
Flamengo72

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Fluminense-46
Flamengo146

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Fluminense37
Flamengo30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Fluminense7
Flamengo93

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Fluminense25
Flamengo75
FluminenseHigh-risk / fragile
Flamengocompact defense · hot form