Fluminense 1-0 Gremio

FluminenseFluminense
1 — 0FT
GremioGremio
ScoreFluminense 1-0 GremioRound18VenueEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)

Key events

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GremioGremio
  1. Everaldo
FluminenseFluminense
FT 1–0

Predictions & odds

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Model outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.

Estimated outcome

Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model

  • Fluminense44%
  • Draw26.7%
  • Gremio29.3%

Venue

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)
Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro · Brazil
Address
Rua Professor Eurico Rabelo, Maracanã
Surface
grass
Capacity
78838

Match

Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil
Round 18
Referee
Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil
Round
18
Date

Competition

Serie A logo
League · Brazil
Country
Brazil (BR)
Season
2025
Dates
2025-03-29 → 2025-12-07

Match statistics

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Fluminense created the clearer chances on xG (1.56 vs 0.35, Δ 1.21). Fluminense was more accurate in front of goal (11% on target vs 0%). Fluminense held more of the ball (56% possession).

Fluminense underperformed their xG by 0.6 goals (1 scored vs 1.56 xG). Gremio underperformed their xG by 0.3 goals (0 scored vs 0.35 xG).

Key metrics

Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.

Possession

56%56%44%44%

Expected goals (xG)

1.5682%0.3518%

Total shots

950%950%

Shots on target

1100%00%

Team form & competition

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FluminenseFluminense FLU
Fluminense
Home
WWWDW
  • #5 Position
  • 64 Points
  • 19-7-12 W-D-L
  • 50/39 Goals F/A

Fluminense are 5th in Serie A with 64 points (19W, 7D, 12L), scoring 50 and conceding 39.

Best wins
6-0 / 0-2
Worst defeats
0-2 / 4-2
GremioGremio GRE
Gremio
Away
WLWLW
  • #9 Position
  • 49 Points
  • 13-10-15 W-D-L
  • 47/50 Goals F/A

Gremio are 9th in Serie A with 49 points (13W, 10D, 15L), scoring 47 and conceding 50.

Best wins
3-1 / 0-4
Worst defeats
0-2 / 4-0

Head to head

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4Fluminensewins
3Drawsmatches
13Gremiowins

Recorded meetings: 20 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).

Highest scoring
Gremio 4–5 Fluminense
Fluminense most goals
Gremio 4–5 Fluminense
Gremio most goals
Gremio 4–5 Fluminense

Match headlines

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