Goal expectancy
1.61Expected goals1.26
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Gais
Estimated win chances: Gais 45.6%, draw 24.5%, Malmo Ff 29.9%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingGais
Weighted momentum
Gais carries the sharper recent run (+9 momentum).
46MixedMalmo Ff
Gais · compact defenseMalmo Ff · leaky defense
Gais
6W · 5D · 5LRecent →WDLWDWLWDWWDDLLL
Momentum index
Malmo Ff
7W · 2D · 7LRecent →LWLDWWWLLLLWLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Gais
23 pts38% wins
6W · 5D · 5L · 16 played
For21
Against15
Malmo Ff
23 pts44% wins
7W · 2D · 7L · 16 played
For31
Against27
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gais offensive edge
Gais faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Malmo Ff offensive edge
Malmo Ff's attack (67%) vs Gais's defense (64%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Gaiscompact defense
Malmo Ffleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Gais71%
2Draws
0Malmo Ff0%