Goal expectancy
1.99Expected goals0.81
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Inter
Estimated win chances: Inter 65%, draw 20.6%, Genoa 14.4%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
91Hot streakInter
Weighted momentum
Inter carries the sharper recent run (+45 momentum).
46MixedGenoa
Inter · compact defense · hot form
Inter
22W · 3D · 1LRecent →WWWWWWWWDWWWWDWWWWDWLWWWWW
Momentum index
Genoa
8W · 9D · 9LRecent →WDLDWWDDDWDLDLWLWLLDWLDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapInter +36
Inter
69 pts85% wins
22W · 3D · 1L · 26 played
For67
Against12
Genoa
33 pts31% wins
8W · 9D · 9L · 26 played
For28
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Inter offensive edge
Inter's attack (74%) vs Genoa's defense (25%).
+49 - Genoa offensive edge
Genoa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-49
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Intercompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Inter40%
2Draws
1Genoa20%