Goal expectancy
1.18Expected goals1.51
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Šilas
Estimated win chances: Jonava 29.7%, draw 25.5%, Šilas 44.8%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellJonava
Weighted momentum
Šilas arrives with stronger form weighting (+44 momentum).
73Hot streakŠilas
Jonava · High-risk / fragileŠilas · compact defense · hot form
Jonava
2W · 1D · 8LRecent →WLLWLDLLLLL
Momentum index
Šilas
8W · 1D · 2LRecent →DWWWLWWLWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapŠilas +18
Jonava
7 pts18% wins
2W · 1D · 8L · 11 played
For11
Against23
Šilas
25 pts73% wins
8W · 1D · 2L · 11 played
For17
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Jonava offensive edge
Jonava faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-9 - Šilas offensive edge
Šilas's attack (36%) vs Jonava's defense (27%).
+9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
JonavaHigh-risk / fragile
Šilascompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Jonava50%
2Draws
2Šilas25%