Goal expectancy
0.76Expected goals1.08
From 24 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Sonabel
Estimated win chances: Kozaf 25.5%, draw 31.8%, Sonabel 42.7%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellKozaf
Weighted momentum
Sonabel arrives with stronger form weighting (+34 momentum).
59BuildingSonabel
Kozaf · low scoring · cold formSonabel · Structured / conservative
Kozaf
4W · 6D · 14LRecent →DDLWDLLLLDLLLLLWWDWLLDLL
Momentum index
Sonabel
11W · 10D · 3LRecent →WDDWDWWLWDDDDDLWWWLDWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSonabel +25
Kozaf
18 pts17% wins
4W · 6D · 14L · 24 played
For16
Against35
Sonabel
43 pts46% wins
11W · 10D · 3L · 24 played
For20
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Kozaf offensive edge
Kozaf faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-20 - Sonabel offensive edge
Sonabel's attack (38%) vs Kozaf's defense (17%).
+21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Kozaflow scoring · cold form
SonabelStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Kozaf0%
3Draws
2Sonabel40%