Malacateco 1-0 Mictlán Prediction

MalacatecoMalacateco
1 — 0FT
MictlánMictlán

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Malacateco

Estimated win chances: Malacateco 44%, draw 25.2%, Mictlán 30.8%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.52Expected goals1.23

From 10 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–010%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 2–07.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

45MixedMalacateco
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

43MixedMictlán

Malacateco

4W · 2D · 4L
Recent →WDLWLDLLWW
Momentum index

Mictlán

3W · 2D · 5L
Recent →WDLWLDLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMalacateco +3

Malacateco

14 pts
40% wins

4W · 2D · 4L · 10 played

For
14
Against
14
Goal diff +0

Mictlán

11 pts
30% wins

3W · 2D · 5L · 10 played

For
13
Against
14
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Malacateco offensive edge

    Malacateco faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -8
  • Mictlán offensive edge

    Mictlán's attack (62%) vs Malacateco's defense (54%).

    +8

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Malacateco38
Mictlán62

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Malacateco54
Mictlán46

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Malacateco45
Mictlán43

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Malacateco34
Mictlán66

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Malacateco30
Mictlán30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Malacateco50
Mictlán50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Malacateco64
Mictlán36