Goal expectancy
2.01Expected goals1.23
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Malmo FF 4-1 Orgryte IS Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Malmo Ff
Estimated win chances: Malmo Ff 55.4%, draw 21.5%, Orgryte Is 23%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
50MixedMalmo Ff
Weighted momentum
Malmo Ff carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
25Cold spellOrgryte Is
Orgryte Is · High-risk / fragile
Malmo Ff
9W · 3D · 8LRecent →DWLWLWLDWWWLLLLWLWWD
Momentum index
Orgryte Is
3W · 6D · 11LRecent →DLDLLWLDWLDLLLLDLLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMalmo Ff +15
Malmo Ff
30 pts45% wins
9W · 3D · 8L · 20 played
For33
Against30
Orgryte Is
15 pts15% wins
3W · 6D · 11L · 20 played
For23
Against43
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Malmo Ff offensive edge
Malmo Ff faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
0 - Orgryte Is offensive edge
Orgryte Is runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
0
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Orgryte IsHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Malmo Ff0%
1Draws
0Orgryte Is0%