Goal expectancy
1.12Expected goals1.20
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Mamoré 33.9%, draw 28.2%, Uberaba 37.9%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedMamoré
Weighted momentum
Uberaba arrives with stronger form weighting (+40 momentum).
82Hot streakUberaba
Mamoré · Structured / conservativeUberaba · compact defense · hot form
Mamoré
3W · 3D · 4LRecent →WLDDWDLLLW
Momentum index
Uberaba
7W · 2D · 1LRecent →WWWWWDDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUberaba +11
Mamoré
12 pts30% wins
3W · 3D · 4L · 10 played
For8
Against9
Uberaba
23 pts70% wins
7W · 2D · 1L · 10 played
For17
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Mamoré offensive edge
Mamoré faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Uberaba offensive edge
Uberaba's attack (71%) vs Mamoré's defense (57%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
MamoréStructured / conservative
Uberabacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Mamoré75%
0Draws
1Uberaba25%