Goal expectancy
1.61Expected goals1.62
From 18 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Mārupe 0-2 JDFS Alberts Prediction
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Mārupe 38.1%, draw 23.3%, Jdfs Alberts 38.6%. From 18 and 17 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedMārupe
Weighted momentum
Jdfs Alberts arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).
65BuildingJdfs Alberts
Mārupe · leaky defense
Mārupe
8W · 1D · 9LRecent →LWLLWLWLLLWWWLLDWW
Momentum index
Jdfs Alberts
9W · 4D · 4LRecent →WWDDWLWDWWLDWWWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Mārupe
25 pts44% wins
8W · 1D · 9L · 18 played
For29
Against30
Jdfs Alberts
31 pts53% wins
9W · 4D · 4L · 17 played
For35
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Mārupe offensive edge
Mārupe faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-32 - Jdfs Alberts offensive edge
Jdfs Alberts's attack (59%) vs Mārupe's defense (27%).
+32
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Mārupeleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Mārupe80%
0Draws
1Jdfs Alberts20%