Key events
View all
Ecuador- J. Quinones
- R. Jiménez
- P. Hincapié
MexicoFT 2–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Mexico51.2%
- Draw26.2%
- Ecuador22.5%
Prematch market
Source: 10Bet
- Mexico42.8%
- Draw32.4%
- Ecuador24.9%
Venue
Estadio Azteca
D.F. · Mexico
- Address
- Calzada de Tlalpan 3665, Coyoacán
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 106187
Match
S. Vincic
Round of 32
- Referee
- S. Vincic
- Stage
- Round of 32
- Date
Competition
Cup · World
- Country
- World
- Season
- 2026
- Dates
- 2026-06-11 → 2026-07-19
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
43%43%57%57%
Expected goals (xG)
1.0258%0.7342%
Total shots
1568%732%
Shots on target
375%125%
Team form & competition
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- #1 Position
- 9 Points
- 3-0-0 W-D-L
- 6/0 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 2-0 / 0-3
- Worst defeats
- 2-3
- #3 Position
- 4 Points
- 1-1-1 W-D-L
- 2/2 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 2-1
- Worst defeats
- 2-0
Head to head
View all1Mexicowins
3Drawsmatches
2Ecuadorwins
Recorded meetings: 6 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Mexico 2–3 Ecuador
- Mexico most goals
- Mexico 3–2 Ecuador
- Ecuador most goals
- Mexico 2–3 Ecuador
Match headlines
Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.
Mexico created the clearer chances on xG (1.02 vs 0.73, Δ 0.29). Mexico fired more attempts (15 vs 7 shots). Ecuador held more of the ball (57% possession).
Mexico outperformed their xG by 1.0 goals (2 scored vs 1.02 xG). Ecuador underperformed their xG by 0.7 goals (0 scored vs 0.73 xG).