Mictlán 2-1 Malacateco Prediction

MictlánMictlán
2 — 1FT
MalacatecoMalacateco
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MictlánMictlánvsMalacatecoMalacateco

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Malacateco

Estimated win chances: Mictlán 33.1%, draw 27.5%, Malacateco 39.4%. From 38 and 42 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.14Expected goals1.27

From 38 and 42 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–111.6%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 1–28.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

44MixedMictlán
Weighted momentum

Malacateco arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).

55BuildingMalacateco
Mictlán · low scoring

Mictlán

13W · 7D · 18L
Recent →LWLLWWDWLWLWLDWDWLDLLWLLLWDLWDLWLDLWLL
Momentum index

Malacateco

18W · 10D · 14L
Recent →WWWLWWLDWWWLWLWDLDLWLLWDDDLWLDDWWDLWLDLLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Mictlán

46 pts
34% wins

13W · 7D · 18L · 38 played

For
39
Against
60
Goal diff -21

Malacateco

64 pts
43% wins

18W · 10D · 14L · 42 played

For
52
Against
41
Goal diff +11

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Mictlán offensive edge

    Mictlán faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -35
  • Malacateco offensive edge

    Malacateco's attack (55%) vs Mictlán's defense (20%).

    +35

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Mictlán45
Malacateco55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Mictlán20
Malacateco80

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Mictlán44
Malacateco55

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Mictlán-20
Malacateco120

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Mictlán32
Malacateco30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Mictlán33
Malacateco67

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Mictlán40
Malacateco60
Mictlánlow scoring