Key events
View all
Derby- J. Yates
- M. Ivanović
MillwallFT 1–1
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Millwall43.5%
- Draw26%
- Derby30.5%
Venue
The Den
London · England
- Address
- Zampa Road, Bermondsey
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 20146
Match
S. Attwell
Round 10
- Referee
- S. Attwell
- Round
- 10
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2024
- Dates
- 2024-08-09 → 2025-05-23
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
54%54%46%46%
Expected goals (xG)
1.9474%0.6826%
Total shots
1676%524%
Shots on target
686%114%
Team form & competition
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- #8 Position
- 66 Points
- 18-12-16 W-D-L
- 47/49 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 3-0 / 1-2
- Worst defeats
- 0-2 / 5-1
- #19 Position
- 50 Points
- 13-11-22 W-D-L
- 48/56 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 1-3
- Worst defeats
- 0-2 / 4-0
Head to head
View all7Millwallwins
5Drawsmatches
6Derbywins
Recorded meetings: 18 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Millwall 3–3 Derby
- Millwall most goals
- Millwall 3–3 Derby
- Derby most goals
- Millwall 1–5 Derby
Match headlines
Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.
Millwall created the clearer chances on xG (1.94 vs 0.68, Δ 1.26). Millwall fired more attempts (16 vs 5 shots). Millwall was more accurate in front of goal (38% on target vs 20%). Millwall held more of the ball (54% possession).
Millwall underperformed their xG by 0.9 goals (1 scored vs 1.94 xG).