Mirassol 2-1 Fluminense
Key events
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Fluminense- G. Marques
- Martinelli
- Negueba
MirassolFT 2–1
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Mirassol47%
- Draw25.5%
- Fluminense27.6%
Venue
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Mirassol, São Paulo · Brazil
- Address
- Avenida Lauro Luchesi 2650, Centro
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 14534
Match
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil
Round 13
- Referee
- Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil
- Round
- 13
- Date
Competition
League · Brazil
- Country
- Brazil (BR)
- Season
- 2025
- Dates
- 2025-03-29 → 2025-12-07
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
44%44%56%56%
Expected goals (xG)
1.2358%0.8842%
Total shots
1148%1252%
Shots on target
667%333%
Team form & competition
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- #4 Position
- 67 Points
- 18-13-7 W-D-L
- 63/39 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 5-1 / 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 3-0
- #5 Position
- 64 Points
- 19-7-12 W-D-L
- 50/39 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 6-0 / 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 0-2 / 4-2
Match headlines
Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.
Mirassol created the clearer chances on xG (1.23 vs 0.88, Δ 0.35). Fluminense fired more attempts (12 vs 11 shots). Mirassol was more accurate in front of goal (55% on target vs 25%). Fluminense held more of the ball (56% possession).
Mirassol outperformed their xG by 0.8 goals (2 scored vs 1.23 xG).