Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals1.83
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Montpellier 2-2 Nice Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Nice
Estimated win chances: Montpellier 25.9%, draw 22.9%, Nice 51.2%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
20Cold spellMontpellier
Weighted momentum
Nice arrives with stronger form weighting (+40 momentum).
60BuildingNice
Montpellier · High-risk / fragile
Montpellier
2W · 2D · 10LRecent →LDLWLLLLLWLLLD
Momentum index
Nice
6W · 5D · 3LRecent →WLWDWWDDDWLWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNice +15
Montpellier
8 pts14% wins
2W · 2D · 10L · 14 played
For13
Against36
Nice
23 pts43% wins
6W · 5D · 3L · 14 played
For26
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Montpellier offensive edge
Montpellier faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-9 - Nice offensive edge
Nice's attack (62%) vs Montpellier's defense (53%).
+9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
MontpellierHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Montpellier29%
2Draws
3Nice43%