Goal expectancy
1.63Expected goals1.25
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Motala
Estimated win chances: Motala 46.3%, draw 24.4%, Ahlafors 29.3%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellMotala
Weighted momentum
Ahlafors arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
48MixedAhlafors
Motala · cold formAhlafors · leaky defense
Motala
1W · 1D · 2LRecent →LDLW
Momentum index
Ahlafors
1W · 2D · 1LRecent →WDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAhlafors +1
Motala
4 pts25% wins
1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played
For6
Against5
Ahlafors
5 pts25% wins
1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played
For6
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Motala offensive edge
Motala's attack (50%) vs Ahlafors's defense (42%).
+8 - Ahlafors offensive edge
Ahlafors runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Motalacold form
Ahlaforsleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Motala50%
2Draws
0Ahlafors0%