Pinerolo 3-1 Lavagnese Prediction

PineroloPinerolo
3 — 1FT
LavagneseLavagnese
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

PineroloPinerolovsLavagneseLavagnese

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Pinerolo

Estimated win chances: Pinerolo 39.6%, draw 28.7%, Lavagnese 31.7%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.20Expected goals1.04

From 7 and 7 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 2–18.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

28Cold spellPinerolo
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

35Cold spellLavagnese
Pinerolo · low scoring · cold formLavagnese · low scoring · cold form

Pinerolo

2W · 2D · 3L
Recent →DLLDLWW
Momentum index

Lavagnese

1W · 4D · 2L
Recent →DLWDDLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapPinerolo +1

Pinerolo

8 pts
29% wins

2W · 2D · 3L · 7 played

For
5
Against
8
Goal diff -3

Lavagnese

7 pts
14% wins

1W · 4D · 2L · 7 played

For
6
Against
8
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Pinerolo offensive edge

    Pinerolo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -35
  • Lavagnese offensive edge

    Lavagnese's attack (75%) vs Pinerolo's defense (40%).

    +35

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Pinerolo25
Lavagnese75

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Pinerolo40
Lavagnese60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Pinerolo28
Lavagnese35

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Pinerolo-20
Lavagnese120

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Pinerolo30
Lavagnese30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Pinerolo25
Lavagnese75

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Pinerolo0
Lavagnese0
Pinerololow scoring · cold form
Lavagneselow scoring · cold form