Piratas 0-1 Cancún Prediction

PiratasPiratas
0 — 1FT
CancúnCancún

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Piratas

Estimated win chances: Piratas 49.6%, draw 25.7%, Cancún 24.7%. From 4 and 3 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals1.00

From 4 and 3 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–012.5%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–08.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

55BuildingPiratas
Weighted momentum

Piratas carries the sharper recent run (+13 momentum).

42MixedCancún
Piratas · Structured / conservativeCancún · low scoring · leaky defense

Piratas

2W · 1D · 1L
Recent →LWWD
Momentum index

Cancún

1W · 0D · 2L
Recent →WLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Piratas

7 pts
50% wins

2W · 1D · 1L · 4 played

For
4
Against
2
Goal diff +2

Cancún

3 pts
33% wins

1W · 0D · 2L · 3 played

For
3
Against
6
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Piratas offensive edge

    Piratas's attack (57%) vs Cancún's defense (25%).

    +32
  • Cancún offensive edge

    Cancún runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -32

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Piratas57
Cancún43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Piratas75
Cancún25

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Piratas55
Cancún42

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Piratas114
Cancún-14

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Piratas30
Cancún41

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Piratas70
Cancún30

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Piratas0
Cancún0
PiratasStructured / conservative
Cancúnlow scoring · leaky defense