Puuma 1-1 Pärnu Prediction

PuumaPuuma
1 — 1FT
PärnuPärnu
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

PuumaPuumavsPärnuPärnu

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Puuma

Estimated win chances: Puuma 56.8%, draw 22.4%, Pärnu 20.9%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.88Expected goals1.05

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–110.4%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 3–16.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

39Cold spellPuuma
Weighted momentum

Puuma carries the sharper recent run (+19 momentum).

20Cold spellPärnu
Puuma · cold formPärnu · low scoring · cold form

Puuma

2W · 0D · 2L
Recent →LLWW
Momentum index

Pärnu

0W · 2D · 2L
Recent →DDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapPuuma +4

Puuma

6 pts
50% wins

2W · 0D · 2L · 4 played

For
12
Against
6
Goal diff +6

Pärnu

2 pts
0% wins

0W · 2D · 2L · 4 played

For
1
Against
5
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Puuma offensive edge

    Puuma's attack (92%) vs Pärnu's defense (55%).

    +37
  • Pärnu offensive edge

    Pärnu runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -37

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Puuma92
Pärnu8

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Puuma45
Pärnu55

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Puuma39
Pärnu20

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Puuma124
Pärnu-24

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Puuma30
Pärnu30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Puuma75
Pärnu25

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Puuma0
Pärnu0
Puumacold form
Pärnulow scoring · cold form