Goal expectancy
1.39Expected goals1.19
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Quevilly
Estimated win chances: Quevilly 41.5%, draw 26.4%, Caen 32.1%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
37Cold spellQuevilly
Weighted momentum
Caen arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
48MixedCaen
Quevilly · cold form
Quevilly
5W · 13D · 11LRecent →DDDDWLWDLLDDWLDDWLDDWLLLDDLLL
Momentum index
Caen
12W · 6D · 11LRecent →LLWWLWLDWWDWWWLDLDDLDLLLLWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCaen +14
Quevilly
28 pts17% wins
5W · 13D · 11L · 29 played
For35
Against38
Caen
42 pts41% wins
12W · 6D · 11L · 29 played
For39
Against37
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Quevilly offensive edge
Quevilly's attack (33%) vs Caen's defense (14%).
+19 - Caen offensive edge
Caen runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Quevillycold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Quevilly40%
2Draws
1Caen20%