Goal expectancy
1.12Expected goals1.34
From 23 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Quilmes 2 1-2 Independiente Res. Prediction
Balanced — model leans Independiente Res.
Estimated win chances: Quilmes 2 31.2%, draw 27.1%, Independiente Res. 41.7%. From 23 and 24 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingQuilmes 2
Weighted momentum
Independiente Res. arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
72Hot streakIndependiente Res.
Quilmes 2 · Structured / conservativeIndependiente Res. · compact defense · hot form
Quilmes 2
12W · 5D · 6LRecent →LWDDWWLWLLLWWWDWWDWLWDW
Momentum index
Independiente Res.
15W · 4D · 5LRecent →DWWWWLWWWDWLWWLWWDDLWWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Quilmes 2
41 pts52% wins
12W · 5D · 6L · 23 played
For24
Against15
Independiente Res.
49 pts63% wins
15W · 4D · 5L · 24 played
For54
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Quilmes 2 offensive edge
Quilmes 2 faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-30 - Independiente Res. offensive edge
Independiente Res.'s attack (80%) vs Quilmes 2's defense (50%).
+30
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Quilmes 2Structured / conservative
Independiente Res.compact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Quilmes 20%
1Draws
0Independiente Res.0%