Goal expectancy
1.07Expected goals1.02
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Regar-TadAZ 3-2 Khatlon Prediction
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Regar-tadaz 36.3%, draw 30%, Khatlon 33.7%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingRegar-tadaz
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
64BuildingKhatlon
Regar-tadaz · Structured / conservativeKhatlon · compact defense
Regar-tadaz
2W · 2D · 1LRecent →DWWLD
Momentum index
Khatlon
3W · 1D · 1LRecent →WDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKhatlon +2
Regar-tadaz
8 pts40% wins
2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played
For2
Against1
Khatlon
10 pts60% wins
3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played
For8
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Regar-tadaz offensive edge
Regar-tadaz faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
0 - Khatlon offensive edge
Khatlon runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
0
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Regar-tadazStructured / conservative
Khatloncompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Regar-tadaz33%
3Draws
3Khatlon33%