Goal expectancy
1.86Expected goals0.93
From 7 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Ross County 4-1 Alloa Athletic Prediction
Balanced — model leans Ross County
Estimated win chances: Ross County 59.2%, draw 22.3%, Alloa Athletic 18.4%. From 7 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
89Hot streakRoss County
Weighted momentum
Ross County carries the sharper recent run (+56 momentum).
33Cold spellAlloa Athletic
Ross County · compact defense · hot formAlloa Athletic · Structured / conservative
Ross County
6W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWDWWWW
Momentum index
Alloa Athletic
2W · 3D · 3LRecent →LLDDWWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Ross County
19 pts86% wins
6W · 1D · 0L · 7 played
For22
Against4
Alloa Athletic
9 pts25% wins
2W · 3D · 3L · 8 played
For8
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ross County offensive edge
Ross County's attack (79%) vs Alloa Athletic's defense (38%).
+41 - Alloa Athletic offensive edge
Alloa Athletic runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-42
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ross Countycompact defense · hot form
Alloa AthleticStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Ross County57%
0Draws
3Alloa Athletic43%