Rouen vs Bastia Prediction

Rouen

2 — 02H · 85′7 Nov 2026, 13:45 UTC

Bastia

Overview Lineups Statistics Standings Events Players PredictionsForm Injuries H2H

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC

RouenvsBastia

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Rouen

Estimated win chances: Rouen 52.6%, draw 25.5%, Bastia 22%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.

TempoMedium

VolatilityLow

Expected goalsMedium

Tactical styleBalanced

Upset potentialMedium

Draw riskMedium

Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.56Expected goals0.91

From 11 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

1–013.5%
1–112.3%
2–010.5%
2–19.6%
0–08.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

67BuildingRouen

Weighted momentum

Rouen carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).

47MixedBastia

Rouen · compact defense · hot formBastia · low scoring

Rouen

7W · 2D · 2L

Recent →WLWLWWDWWWD

Momentum index

Bastia

4W · 3D · 4L

Recent →WDDLDWLWLWL

Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRouen +8

Rouen

23 pts

64% wins

7W · 2D · 2L · 11 played

For

Against

Goal diff +11

Bastia

15 pts

36% wins

4W · 3D · 4L · 11 played

For

Against

Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

Rouen offensive edge
Rouen faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-2
Bastia offensive edge
Bastia's attack (38%) vs Rouen's defense (36%).
+2

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Rouen62

Bastia38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Rouen36

Bastia64

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Rouen67

Bastia47

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Rouen46

Bastia54

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Rouen30

Bastia30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Rouen60

Bastia40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Rouen0

Bastia100

Rouencompact defense · hot form

Bastialow scoring

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Rouen0%

0Draws

1Bastia100%

Recent meetings

22 Jul 2023, 15:00 UTC