Goal expectancy
1.63Expected goals1.11
From 34 and 34 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Rustavi
Estimated win chances: Rustavi 49.5%, draw 24.6%, Spaeri 25.9%. From 34 and 34 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingRustavi
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
48MixedSpaeri
Rustavi
18W · 5D · 11LRecent →LLWWWLWLLWLWDLWWDWWDLWWDWWWLDWWLWL
Momentum index
Spaeri
13W · 9D · 12LRecent →LLDWLLDWWWDWWLLLWLWWWWWLLWLLDDDDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRustavi +11
Rustavi
59 pts53% wins
18W · 5D · 11L · 34 played
For57
Against39
Spaeri
48 pts38% wins
13W · 9D · 12L · 34 played
For43
Against44
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Rustavi offensive edge
Rustavi's attack (64%) vs Spaeri's defense (42%).
+22 - Spaeri offensive edge
Spaeri runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-22
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Rustavi100%
0Draws
0Spaeri0%